Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz came to a near standstill on Thursday (Jul. 9) after the United States carried out a second consecutive day of strikes on Iran, heightening concerns that a fragile truce between the two sides was beginning to unravel.
Observable movements in the world’s most vital energy conduit largely occurred along an Iran-approved route nearer to the waterway’s north, while the US-supported Omani corridor was quiet, ship-tracking data show.
Among larger vessels, only a US-sanctioned supertanker heading out of the Persian Gulf was seen in the strait, alongside an Iranian-flagged container ship. It’s possible that some vessels may be crossing with their transponders turned off, however.
The slowdown comes after a spate of Iranian attacks on vessels that had prompted the US strikes, while President Donald Trump also said the ceasefire with Iran was over. Some 14 commodity carriers crossed the strait in both directions on Wednesday, the least since the interim peace deal in mid-June.
It’s a stark shift from recent daily activity in the strait. In the three weeks since the US and Iran agreed to an interim deal to reopen Hormuz, average daily transits of commodity vessels was at 34, with a peak of 59 on Jun 24, Kpler data show. That compares with a wartime daily count of less than 20 on most days.
While liquefied natural gas tanker traffic through the strait remained at a standstill, two empty vessels have recently entered the Gulf of Oman and are heading toward the eastern entrance of Hormuz.
There were also signs that sporadic electronic interference was back, with vessels to the south-east of Limah in Oman in the Gulf of Oman appearing to travel at unusually fast speeds of at least 30 knots early on Thursday.
That could point to countries activating defence systems aimed at obstructing hostile forces’ drones from attacking their infrastructure, which can affect ships’ transponder signals. Electronic interference may also affect ship-tracking data.
Source: BLOOMBERG
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